Meesho listing at 45% premium: Valuation rich but levers intact
Agrawal described Meesho’s 45% premium listing as “fabulous”, placing its post-listing valuation at around ₹75,000 crore. “At the upper band, Meesho was priced at 5.3x price-to-sales. After listing gains, it now trades at 7–8x price-to-sales, broadly in line with other new-age tech peers,” he said.
Despite the steep valuation, Agrawal believes Meesho has multiple levers to drive profitability:
Zero commissions: The platform currently charges no commission to sellers. With 250 crore annual transactions, even a ₹1–2 fee per order could add ₹250–500 crore directly to EBITDA.
Ad revenue upside: Meesho’s advertising revenue as a share of GMV is only 2–2.5%, far below the 5–10% global benchmark.
“These levers give Meesho a clear path to deliver profitable growth,” he said. For fresh buyers, he suggests taking a small tracking position and evaluating the company’s execution over the next 2–3 quarters.
Aequs: Niche aerospace play with strong margins
Aequs, which listed with a 12.5% premium, operates in a high-margin aerospace precision engineering segment. “This is a very niche business. Generating 25% EBITDA margins in a sector where large OEMs typically squeeze suppliers speaks volumes about the product’s criticality,” Agrawal said.While its consumer division remains loss-making due to low utilisation, Agrawal believes profitability will improve as scale builds. “For investors seeking listing gains, profit booking is fine. But long-term investors can hold Aequs for 3–5 years, as the aerospace order cycle is naturally long and earnings visibility strong.”
Vidya Wires: Commodity business, low margins — profit-book and wait
On Vidya Wires, Agrawal was more cautious. “This is a commodity-driven winding wire business with low margins and volume-led growth,” he said. For those who gained on listing day, booking profits is advisable.
He recommends tracking the company for 2–3 quarters before considering a long-term position. “Wait for earnings clarity and hear the management’s growth roadmap. It’s best to adopt a wait-and-watch approach for now.”
Bottom line
Meesho: Great debut; take a tracking position and watch execution.
Aequs: High-margin niche business; hold for 3–5 years for long-term compounding.
Vidya Wires: Book profits now; reassess after early earnings performance.