His core message: the event will pass, the pain is real but temporary, and the investors who average down methodically through this period will be in the strongest position on the other side. Continue your SIPs, keep averaging your cost, and resist the urge to go fully defensive — but do rotate within equities from high-beta to low-beta where you can.
This moment feels familiar because in Feb–June 2022, the Ukraine-Russia war triggered a comparable global risk-off event. Investors who held their nerve and continued buying through that window were, in Gupta’s words, “handsomely rewarded” in the months that followed. He sees the current correction through the same lens.
“In hindsight, this could look like an opportunity where one should have added allocation towards equities — which is what we advise our clients: hold on to their nerves and continue with their SIPs,”
says Gupta.
The reallocation playbook — sector by sector
Healthcare & domestic pharma
Top pick: GLP-1 patent expiry in the next fortnight is a near-term catalyst; hospitals and diagnostics showing robust demand and strong earnings growth
Financials
Add on dips: MSME delinquency fears are “far-fetched” for now; the sector has taken meaningful underperformance — asymmetric opportunity for patient buyers
Defence
Overweight: Sentimental sell-off creates entry point; favour companies with stable earnings, limited leverage, and strong free cash flow generation
Premium consumer discretionary
Constructive: India’s consumption mix is tilting toward high-end products; less exposed to crude cost pressures than mass-market peers
Consumer staples
Underweight: Higher crude = higher packaging, logistics, and transport costs; trading at high multiples with anaemic earnings growth
New-age tech
Selective: Apply a simple test: can they demonstrate consistent profitability? AI disruption risk is real — be mindful of meaningful positions in companies that cannot answer yes.
ETMarkets.comOn new-age tech: the AI question
Gupta’s framework for evaluating new-age companies strips out the noise: old-age or new-age is irrelevant. What matters is whether the business has a credible, near-term path to profitability and whether its model is resilient to AI disruption. He notes that many services currently taken for granted may be fundamentally altered as generative AI becomes a standard product feature — and companies unable to demonstrate consistent profitability in that environment deserve only limited portfolio weight, regardless of how far they have corrected from their peaks.
ETMarkets.com